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Author Archives: Chris Becker
BOE: “Money creation in the modern economy”
The Monetary Analysis Directorate of the Bank of England this quarter published a research report explaining money creation in the modern economy, admitting quite bluntly and openly that commercial banks create deposits in the economy (i.e. create money), by making … Continue reading
Posted in Chris Becker
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On Empirical Relevance of ABCT
This comes back to the point I made to Grant McDermott a few months ago about “testing” ABCT using the wrong data. Wrote Gene Callahan and Roger Garrison in “DOES AUSTRIAN BUSINESS CYCLE THEORY HELP EXPLAIN THE DOT-COM BOOM AND … Continue reading
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Introducing JSE Direct Listeners to Austrian Economics
Simon Brown (of JustOneLap fame) interviewed me to learn about Austrian economics for the JSE Direct podcast last week. Listen to the interview below (episode 123), or follow this link.
MUST WATCH: Modern Monetary System Explained
I cannot recommend this video highly enough. It is extremely powerful as it explains step-by-step the mechanics and machinations of the modern monetary system. Mike Maloney is absolutely spot on about this: the system impoverishes the working class every single day. … Continue reading
RE: On The Empirical Relevance of Austrian Business Cycle Theory
My friend Grant McDermott, to whom I wrote why I think the empirical relevance of ABCT by Lester/Wolff may produce “mixed” results replied to me in this post. This is a quick one to elaborate my points. Firstly Grant says … Continue reading
Posted in Chris Becker
Tagged ABCT, business cycle, central bank, fractional reserve banking, inflation, malinvestment, monetary policy
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The Declining Relevance of Fractional Reserve Banks
Here is a fascinating article on Wired about the declining influence and relevance of fractional reserve commercial banks on the lives of individuals. It argues that banks will one day look more like Google, Facebook, or Apple. Interesting about this … Continue reading
Posted in Chris Becker
Tagged banking crisis, central bank, fractional reserve banking, gold, inflation
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The Austrian Economist’s Skepticism on Empirics That Validate ABCT
I agree completely with this comment of Russell’s about the empirical tests that have been done in the past to ‘test’ Austrian business cycle theory: It is interesting that despite all the data shortcomings, the authors found some empirical validity to ABCT in the industrial production … Continue reading
Posted in Chris Becker
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Impact of Real Interest Rates on Retail and Manufacturing
In a recent post I referred to data that suggests manufacturing output has been growing much slower than retail sales volumes since 2004. The data suggests that the consumer sectors are booming, while productive sectors are shrinking, which would be … Continue reading
Posted in Chris Becker
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South Africa’s Regressing Economy
I just wrote an important post at my blog about the regressing South African economy, and the risks this poses to the economy and the rand going forward. Assuming the aggregated data below from Stats SA can be trusted, the … Continue reading
Posted in Chris Becker
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On The Empirical Relevance of Austrian Business Cycle Theory
A friend sent along a paper by Robert B. Lester and Jonathan S. Wolff titled “The empirical relevance of the Mises-Hayek theory of the trade cycle,” published in the Austrian Review of Economics in 2013. The paper finds, empirically, that … Continue reading